[clue-talk] McCain suggests raiding Colorado's water
dennisjperkins at comcast.net
dennisjperkins at comcast.net
Wed Aug 20 07:42:22 MDT 2008
-------------- Original message ----------------------
From: Nate Duehr <nate at natetech.com>
> David L. Willson wrote:
> > I refuse to answer a top-post that follows a bottom-post, or vice-versa, but
> if I didn't
> > refuse, I'd agree with Angelo and Richard. A third candidate is a third
> candidate.
> > Saying that a third candidate is a spoiler... Well, isn't that a little like
> saying that
> > Linux is a spoiler?
>
> I'm not so sure. There's been a lot of real mathematics to show that
> the current voting system DOES have spoilers.
>
> Various voting methods that WEIGHT the candidates have been proposed
> (and used successfully for voting for other things, but not people in
> U.S. political elections) that take into account the individual voter's
> preferences in an ORDER -- so that if they want to vote for a 3rd party
> candidate, but that candidate doesn't have enough votes to win, your
> votes still "count" in some way for the winning candidate.
>
> Plus add in that really it's the Electoral College that's voting and not
> the popular vote (right or wrong, I'm not getting into that debate) that
> decides who the President is... there's some math to be done there too,
> obviously. In fact, the two major parties definitely know this and
> campaign accordingly.
>
> The more population moves away from the coasts and inland, the more
> difficult it becomes to mess with elections via the Electoral College,
> in my view. But, IANAM.*
>
> I think there's PLENTY of reasons to believe the common-sense knowledge
> that voting for a third-party candidate can screw the person you might
> OTHERWISE want in office, out of the job.
>
> Plus, "common-sense" is often very very right.
>
> I have met very few people who can tell me that voting for a third-party
> candidate feels right when they do a "gut-check" on whether or not it
> will mess with the real winners.
>
> And I don't think the country is (yet?) at a stage where a landslide for
> a 3rd party will happen. (Someday, maybe? Not this election season,
> though. Common sense also tells me that both McCain and Obama have
> *enough* support that no landslide toward a 3d party is going to happen.)
>
> So with all of the above... logically, voting for a 3rd party is almost
> a guarantee to mess with the numbers for the only two possible winners
> in a modern Presidential election.
>
> (As far as local elections go, there are and have been 3rd party
> candidates that CAN and HAVE won elections... but it's not happening for
> President this go-around, and probably won't in my lifetime unless
> conditions for the average person get so bad they vote for a 3rd party
> out of total frustration.)
>
> Nate
>
> *I am not a Mathematician.
> _______________________________________________
Weren't the Republicans originally spoilers? This country had the Democratic and Whig parties.
More information about the clue-talk
mailing list