[clue-talk] Wow, Card's a little political...
David Rudder
david.rudder at reliableresponse.net
Fri Oct 31 08:15:28 MDT 2008
The last nationwide summary from electoral-vote.com (Andrew Tannenbaum's
site) shows Obama ahead by 6%. President Bush won in 2004 with about a
1% lead, which he called a "mandate". 6% is a pretty good lead for a
presidential campaign.
But I'm still surprised by how low it is.
Collins, you're right. Obama has the lead in money, more positive press
coverage, a better built infrastructure, and a political environment
that heavily favors the Democrats. 80% of the population thinks the
country is going in the wrong direction. The Republican brand is at
it's lowest point that I remember, and I remember as far back as
Carter. So why isn't he doing better? He should be ahead by 20%, not 6!
Luckily (or unluckily, depending on your viewpoint), it's electoral
votes that matter. electoral-vote.com shows it as Obama 364/McCain 171
with ND's 3 votes tied. That's a much wider spread. Even giving McCain
Missori, Indiana, North Dakota, Florida and Ohio, it's still
O-306/M-232, a good solid win for the Dems. Toss in North Carolina, and
it's 0-291/M-247, still a win for Obama.
Hey, does anyone want to start a pool? I'll put in $5 on Obama-312,
McCain-226.
Not quite the reverse of Mondale...or Dukakis...or McGovern. But, a win
is a win.
-Dave
Collins Richey wrote:
> On Thu, Oct 30, 2008 at 9:39 PM, David L. Willson <DLWillson at thegeek.nu> wrote:
>
>> http://www.ornery.org/essays/warwatch/2008-10-26-1.html
>>
>
> Excellent summary of where we are and where we'll be depending on the
> outcome of the election.
>
> The ironic part of this all, to me, is this. The Messiah has a war
> chest of something like a half billion and the fawning support of
> every mainstream journalist and moslem extremist organization
> world-wide, but he can only manage to buy the support of barely half
> of the voters.
>
>
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